Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

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miguelnuva
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by miguelnuva »

_JNavs_ wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:44 pm
LSD Jellyfish wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:38 pm Continual unwarranted negativity when everything proves to be otherwise can be seen as bait, so be careful. Consequently, insisting that another member needs to be banned is also risky business: don’t do it.

Anyways, has this movie already surpassed KOTM in terms of BO?
It's crazy how every MV film always ends up with a huge obstacle in its way, and nearly every time, crushes right through it.

I'm dying on the hill that says KOTM was jumped by Disney films that year, but looking here at GvK I'm super proud of how well it's standing on its feet during such a bad time in the world rn, especially considering in the US its free to stream with Max.

G14 had to deal with its fair share of competitive releases, same with Kong. But everytime the headlines stay the same, "GODZILLA/KONG STOMPS THE BOX OFFICE"
I'm dying on that hill till Godzilla 3 comes out and flops.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by plasmabeam »

miguelnuva wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:47 pm
_JNavs_ wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:44 pm
LSD Jellyfish wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:38 pm Continual unwarranted negativity when everything proves to be otherwise can be seen as bait, so be careful. Consequently, insisting that another member needs to be banned is also risky business: don’t do it.

Anyways, has this movie already surpassed KOTM in terms of BO?
It's crazy how every MV film always ends up with a huge obstacle in its way, and nearly every time, crushes right through it.

I'm dying on the hill that says KOTM was jumped by Disney films that year, but looking here at GvK I'm super proud of how well it's standing on its feet during such a bad time in the world rn, especially considering in the US its free to stream with Max.

G14 had to deal with its fair share of competitive releases, same with Kong. But everytime the headlines stay the same, "GODZILLA/KONG STOMPS THE BOX OFFICE"
I'm dying on that hill till Godzilla 3 comes out and flops.
I have a good feeling that this movie puts G3 on a strong footing. But we'll probably get a different monster movie first before Godzilla comes back, and the success of that, in addition to GvK, will help.

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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Showzilla »

plasmabeam wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:46 pm
_JNavs_ wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:44 pm
LSD Jellyfish wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:38 pm Continual unwarranted negativity when everything proves to be otherwise can be seen as bait, so be careful. Consequently, insisting that another member needs to be banned is also risky business: don’t do it.

Anyways, has this movie already surpassed KOTM in terms of BO?
It's crazy how every MV film always ends up with a huge obstacle in its way, and nearly every time, crushes right through it.

I'm dying on the hill that says KOTM was jumped by Disney films that year, but looking here at GvK I'm super proud of how well it's standing on its feet during such a bad time in the world rn.
I think if we add the $200-250M of the HBO Max deal, it is encroaching on KSI territory, but I could be wrong.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Hokmuto »

LSD Jellyfish wrote: Sat Apr 10, 2021 5:38 pm
Anyways, has this movie already surpassed KOTM in terms of BO?
Not yet. I would say including the current totals for China and the domestic market, GvK sits at around 320-330M while KOTM reached 380M. It's pretty close. What we can say definitively is that it has surpassed KOTM in China and is only 7M off at beating KSI's China total which is amazing to see.

I think it could top KOTM, it's pretty feasible at this point. I would argue in China maybe it ends at 180M. Domestic, maybe 110M total. That's 290M. If we assume it gets on the lower end of the foreign market excluding China (so let's go with KOTM figures) then add around 140M to that and we get 430M. So I think it has a good chance at reaching 430M. I hope Showzilla's numbers/calculations come to fruition though
Last edited by Hokmuto on Sat Apr 10, 2021 8:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Destoroyah of Worlds »

I'm so happy to see this film succeed. And it has succeeded in a way that makes BOTH Legendary and Warner Brothers happy.

Warner Brothers has gotten its most successful HBO Max film out of this. And Legendary has gotten a strong box office performance and a big HBO Max pay off from Warner Brothers.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by ernesth100 »

Well see the inflation numbers after it's full theatrical release and run. I'm sure this film will easily cross 500 million and even if it doesn't it's already nearly doubled its budget.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by ultrazilla »

Yeah at this point I see absolutely no logical reason for them to abandon the MV, they made profit on top of HBO buff, people loved the movie, fans wanted more, 80% on the RT, endless potential to the expansion, yeah It's phase 2 time :).
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Cookson »

GvsKong should be around the 350m worldwide mark when those totals come in. Hopefully well over.

At 165m in China. With Sunday included at 69.5 domestically.
Last edited by Cookson on Sun Apr 11, 2021 7:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Desghidorah »

I mean, with the HBO Max buyout and cut of those profits, Legendary made some serious moola with this film even before it hit the threaters. Everything with the Box Office is basically a post-victory lap. And given Legendary's head honcho voiced that multiple ideas for continuations have already been on the table, it seems the MV is pretty assured as a whole. And look at the track record. 2014? Solid hit. Skull Island? Solid hit. KOTM? Not a hit, but not a loss either (fact it did so well in the blackhole that was Post-Endgame speaks for itself). And between the streaming perks and Box Office, GvK is probably a verified blockbuster at this point.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Cookson »

At 357m worldwide. Just needs 30m to pass KotM worldwide.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Monke »

https://deadline.com/2021/04/godzilla-v ... 234732050/

“ Film finance sources have been telling us that as Legendary’s Godzilla vs. Kong hits $357.8M WW today, the pic is already set to bring cash back to Warner Bros. –an estimated $96.4M currently–even with the controversial HBO Max line item in the mix”

Added in 30 seconds:
“Total up all the revenues, and that brings GvK to $326.4M. Substract the $160M production cost and an estimated global P&A of $70M (because Europe and Brazil aren’t open), and that brings the movie’s current projected profit to $96.4M before off-the-tops, interest, and overhead. The first Godzilla from Legendary ranked in our 2014 Box Office tournament and netted $52.4M after $62.6M in combined interest/off-the-tops/overhead and participations. Even if that cost was applied against GvK, the movie would still be north of breakeven.”
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by GodzillaFan1990's »

Come on $450-$500 million!
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by phantomsdaydreams »

A 60% drop is fairly normal for blockbusters, but according to Deadline, GvK came in at a 58%, showing better repeat viewing value than initially anticipated. Wonderful!

https://www.google.com/amp/s/deadline.c ... 31553/amp/

Combine that with the previous Deadline report posted above and we've got ourselves a VERIFIABLE winner, boys! =D

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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Godzilla21 »

Looks like the movie is doing well. Glad to hear. It should pass KOTM by next weekend
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by GodzillaFan1990's »

How much do you guys think this film is going to make at the end of its run?
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

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GodzillaFan1990's wrote: Sun Apr 11, 2021 11:19 am How much do you guys think this film is going to make at the end of its run?
$420 million - $430 million

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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by DynomikeGojira »

Honestly I'll be happy if it reach $400+million

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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Godzilla21 »

Somewhere between $400-$440 million seems to be the end game.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by miguelnuva »

I'm going to just say 450m give or take a few million.
Last edited by miguelnuva on Sun Apr 11, 2021 3:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Godzilla vs Kong: the Box Office Thread - Predictions, Tracking, etc

Post by Cookson »

It depends on the hold here in the states. The 58% drop after a holiday is normal but let’s see what happens next weekend so we can get a better idea.
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